Citation(s) from the GunPolicy.org literature library

GunPolicy.org. 2020 ‘Calculated Rates - South Africa.’ Historical Population Data - USCB International Data Base. Suitland, MD: US Census Bureau Population Division. 4 December

Relevant contents

Historical Population Data - South Africa

Year: Total Midyear Population
2019: 55,918,443
2015: 53,675,563
2014: 53,006,857
2011: 51,453,823
2010: 51,122,965
2008: 50,024,791
2007: 49,371,903
2005: 48,104,397
2004: 47,438,933
2003: 46,770,284
2001: 45,483,334
2000: 44,913,298
1999: 44,351,539
1998: 43,787,349
1997: 43,199,215
1996: 42,672,525
1995: 42,147,059
1994: 41,618,862

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GunPolicy.org rate calculation:

Possession Data

Number of Privately Owned Firearms
Between 3,700,0001 2 and 7,200,0001 3

Calculated Rate* of Civilian Firearm Possession per 100 Population
Between 6.62 and 12.88

Number of Licensed Firearm Owners
2015: 1,757,9711
2014: 1,762,7384
2011: 1,845,0325
2001: 2,092,2426
1999: 2,027,4117
1996: 2,000,0008
1994: 2,400,0005

Calculated Rate* of Licensed Firearm Owners per 100 population
2015: 3.28
2014: 3.32
2011: 3.59
2001: 4.60
1999: 4.57
1996: 4.69
1994: 5.77

Number of Registered Firearms
2015: 3,217,432‬1
2014: 3,124,9004
2011: 2,900,0005
2004: 3,737,6768
2003: 3,735,6769 10
2001: 3,667,2896
1999: 3,554,33611 9 10
1996: 3,503,5738
1994: 3,500,0005;

Calculated Rate* of Registered Firearms per 100 population
2015: 5.99
2014: 5.90
2011: 5.64
2004: 7.88
2003: 7.99
2001: 8.06
1999: 8.01
1996: 8.21
1994: 8.41

Estimated Number of Illicit Firearms
2005: 4,000,0003
1999: 500,0002

Calculated Rate* of Illicit Firearms per 100 Population
2005: 8.32
1999: 1.13

Gun Death and Injury

Number of Total Number of Gun Deaths
2008: 3,35712
2005: 15,00013
2000: 5,20114
1999: 3,90615

Calculated Rate* of Total Gun Death per 100,000 People
2008: 6.71
2005: 31.18
2000: 11.58
1999: 8.81

Number of Gun Homicides
2007: 6,10116

Calculated Rate* of Gun Homicide per 100,000 People
2007: 12.36

Number of Handgun Homicides
2000: 6,72417
1999: 7,183
1998: 7,032
1997: 6,590
1996: 6,696
1995: 9,019
1994: 9,144

Calculated Rate* of Handgun Homicide per 100,000 People
2000: 14.97
1999: 16.20
1998: 16.06
1997: 15.25
1996: 15.69
1995: 21.40
1994: 21.97

Number of Long Gun Homicides
2000: 2,60317
1999: 3,071
1998: 3,037
1997: 2,722
1996: 1,300
1995: 1,421
1994: 1,423

Calculated Rate* of Long Gun Homicide per 100,000 People
2000: 5.80
1999: 6.92
1998: 6.94
1997: 6.30
1996: 3.05
1995: 3.37
1994: 3.42

Number of Gun Homicides (other)
2000: 1,52717
1999: 1,757
1998: 2,185
1997: 1,868
1996: 2,592
1995: 291
1994: 618

Calculated Rate* of Gun Homicides (other) per 100,000 People
2000: 3.40
1999: 3.96
1998: 4.99
1997: 4.32
1996: 6.07
1995: 0.69
1994: 1.48

Number of Suicides (any method)
2008: 3,12512
2000: 1,78214
1999: 1,15715

Calculated Rate* of Suicide per 100,000 People (any method)
2008: 6.25
2000: 3.97
1999: 2.61

Number of Gun Suicides
2008: 42212
1999: 40418

Calculated Rate* of Gun Suicide per 100,000 People
2008: 0.84
1999: 0.91

Number of Unintentional Gun Deaths
2010: 3419
1999: 920

Calculated Rate* of Unintentional Gun Death per 100,000 People
2010: 0.07
1999: 0.02

Number of Gun Deaths from Undetermined Cause
2010: 419
1999: 4821

Calculated Rate* of Gun Death from Undetermined Cause per 100,000 People
2010: 0.01
1999: 0.11

[*Crude Rate per nn Population = Number ÷ Population x nn]

ID: Q4276

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